Last weeks Makor Rishon had a small article describing how many of the so called "orange youth" are about to take to the streets again - this time going house to house campaigning. Remembering their success in changing minds before the Likud referendum on the disengagement plan, they plan to focus on those traditional Likud voters who may have decided to vote for Kadima. (For those of you who don't know, before the Likud referendum on the disengagement plan from Gush Katif, polls showed a majority were for the plan. After three weeks of intensive, one-on-one campaigning, the end result was that the disengagement plan was rejected by an unprecedented landslide of 60 percent against, 40 percent for, which Arik Sharon chose to ignore). The teens, and adults who will join them, are hoping to get these voters to change their minds and go back to the Likud.
I was very happy to see this article, and today's article in Haaretz makes me even more hopeful. They did a survey which shows a drop in Kadima's support, from 43 seats to 40. This specific drop may not be so important, but other, more detailed information in the article seems to be significant.
One, while the transfer of funds to the PA was cited as a reason for the drop in Kadima support, they also found that the evacuation of Amona led 9 percent to change their vote from Kadima to the Likud.
Two, they found that in addition to 6 percent of voters who do not plan to vote at all, 13 percent are undecided. (A Maagar Mochot poll shows an even greater number of undecided.) This translate into 20 floating seats.
Three, the survey shows significant public support for the establishment of an inquiry committee to investigate the Amona evacuation, which the Knesset approved in its first reading yesterday, despite Labor's backpedaling.
Four, they found that Olmert's personal approval rating has dropped.
Knock on those doors, guys. It certainly beats getting hit over the head by a baton!
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